<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>1981-5271</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Revista Brasileira de Educação Médica]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Rev. Bras. Educ. Med.]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>1981-5271</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Associação Brasileira de Educação Médica]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S1981-52712020000100201</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1590/1981-5271v44.1-20190205.ing</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Predictive Factors of Graduation Delay in a Medical Program: a Retrospective Cohort Study in Brazil, 2010-2016]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="pt"><![CDATA[Fatores Preditivos de Atraso na Graduação em um Curso De medicina: Estudo de Coorte Retrospectivo no Brasil, 2010-2016]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Rocha]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Bárbara Aparecida da Silva Rego]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Toledo Júnior]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Antonio]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidade José do Rosário Vellano  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Belo Horizonte Minas Gerais]]></addr-line>
<country>Brazil</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>00</month>
<year>2020</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>00</month>
<year>2020</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>44</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://educa.fcc.org.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S1981-52712020000100201&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://educa.fcc.org.br/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S1981-52712020000100201&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://educa.fcc.org.br/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S1981-52712020000100201&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract:  Introduction:  Medical training is a long and expensive process. Admission processes are highly competitive all over the world but being accepted is no guarantee of academic success. Medical school is demanding and stressful, and some students are not able to cope with this new scenario successfully. It is estimated that 10-15% of medical students experience difficulties in adapting to the course, which can lead to academic failure. The identification of predictive factors of failure supports the creation of mechanisms and strategies to avoid course dropout or graduation delay. To identify predictive factors of academic failure in a Brazilian medical program.  Methods:  A retrospective observational study was carried out with all medical students admitted to a private Brazilian medical school in 2010 and 2011. The main outcome was academic success. Academic failure was defined as graduation delay or course dropout (Group 1), and academic success was defined as graduating within 6 years (Group 2). Sociodemographic and academic data were collected, including grades obtained at the admission process and the first-semester courses. Freshman students and students with passing grades in the first semester (passed students) were analyzed separately. Descriptive and comparative analyses, logistic regression and ROC curve analysis were performed. The level of significance was 0.05.  Results:  A total of 312 students were admitted during the study period, but 10 were excluded due to lack of information. Of the 302 students included in the study, 105 were included in Group 1 and 197 were included in Group 2. Thirty-two students failed the first semester. The 270 students with passing grades in the first semester were divided into Group 1 (n=73) and Group 2 (n=197). Among the freshman students, lower admission grades were associated with a higher chance of failure (padjusted=0.012). Of the 270 students with passing grades, low academic performance (courses&#8217; mean grades) was associated with graduation delay (padjusted&lt;0.001).  Conclusions:  Low grades at the admission process (freshman students) and low academic performance in the first semester (students with passing grades) were predictive factors of academic failure.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="pt"><p><![CDATA[Resumo:  Introdução:  a formação do médico é um processo longo e dispendioso. Os processos de seleção são muito competitivos em todo o mundo, mas a aprovação não é garantia de sucesso acadêmico. Os cursos de Medicina são muito exigentes e estressantes, e alguns estudantes não são capazes de lidar adequadamente com esse novo cenário. Estima-se que 10%-15% dos estudantes de Medicina tenham alguma dificuldade em adaptar-se ao curso, o que pode levar ao insucesso acadêmico. A identificação de fatores preditivos de insucesso pode suportar a criação de mecanismos e estratégias para evitar o atraso ou abandono do curso. O objetivo deste estudo é identificar fatores preditivos de insucesso acadêmico em um curso de Medicina no Brasil.  Método:  estudo observacional retrospectivo foi realizado com todos os estudantes de Medicina que foram admitidos em uma escola médica privada em 2010 e 2011. O desfecho principal foi o sucesso acadêmico. Definiu-se o insucesso acadêmico como atraso na graduação ou abandono do curso (Grupo 1) e o sucesso acadêmico como graduação seis anos após o ingresso no curso (Grupo 2). Coletaram-se dados sociodemográficos e acadêmicos, além das notas no processo de admissão e nas disciplinas do primeiro semestre. Os alunos ingressantes no curso e aqueles aprovados no primeiro semestre (aprovados) foram analisados separadamente. Realizou-se análise descritiva e comparativa, regressão logística e análise de curva ROC. O nível de significância foi de 0,05.  Resultados:  312 alunos foram admitidos no período do estudo, mas dez foram excluídos por falta de informação. Dos 302 ingressante, 105 foram incluídos no Grupo 1 e 197 no Grupo 2. Trinta e dois alunos foram reprovados no primeiro semestre. Os 270 alunos aprovados no primeiro semestre foram divididos em Grupo 1 (n = 73) e Grupo 2 (n = 197). Entre os alunos ingressantes, notas baixas no processo de admissão estavam associadas à maior chance de insucesso acadêmico (pajustado = 0,012). Dos 270 alunos aprovados no primeiro semestre, o baixo desempenho acadêmico (média das notas do semestre) estava associado ao insucesso acadêmico (pajustado = 0,001).  Conclusões:  notas baixas no processo seletivo (alunos ingressantes) e o baixo desempenho acadêmico no primeiro semestre (alunos aprovados no primeiro semestre) foram fatores preditivos de insucesso acadêmico.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Academic Failure]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Academic Performance]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Brazil]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Medical Students]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Risk Factors.]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Fracasso Acadêmico]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Desempenho Acadêmico]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Brasil]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Estudantes de Medicina]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Fatores de Risco]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
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