<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>0104-4036</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Ensaio: Avaliação e Políticas Públicas em Educação]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Ensaio: aval. pol. públ. educ.]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>0104-4036</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Fundação CESGRANRIO]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S0104-40362021000300804</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1590/s0104-403620210002902107</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="pt"><![CDATA[Modelagem de Equações Estruturais e os testes de seleção &#8211; Caso do vestibular da Universidade Estadual do Ceará]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Structural Equation Modeling and selection tests - Case of the selection process of the State University of Ceará]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Modelado de Ecuaciones Estructurales y pruebas de selección &#8211; Caso del examen de ingreso de la Universidad Estadual de Ceará]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Maia]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[José Leudo]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Lima]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Marcos Antonio Martins]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidade Estadual do Ceará  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Fortaleza CE]]></addr-line>
<country>Brasil</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidade Federal do Ceará  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Fortaleza CE]]></addr-line>
<country>Brasil</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>07</month>
<year>2021</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>07</month>
<year>2021</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>29</volume>
<numero>112</numero>
<fpage>804</fpage>
<lpage>827</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://educa.fcc.org.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0104-40362021000300804&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://educa.fcc.org.br/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S0104-40362021000300804&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://educa.fcc.org.br/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S0104-40362021000300804&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="pt"><p><![CDATA[Resumo Este estudo teve como objetivo fazer uso da Modelagem de Equações Estruturais &#8211; MEE, para avaliar a qualidade do modelo empregado pela Universidade Estadual do Ceará (UECE), no processo de seleção de seus vestibulandos, o qual é baseado na Teoria Clássica dos Testes (TCT), assim como propor ajuste a esse modelo pelo uso da Análise Fatorial de Segunda Ordem e da Análise de Regressão, via MEE. Utilizou-se um banco de dados composto dos resultados das provas de 11.060 candidatos ao vestibular de 2018.1, cujo tratamento se deu por meio do software IBM SPSS Amos (2013, v.22), obtendo-se os seguintes indicadores de qualidade: CFI ( Comparative Fit Index ) = 0,925; GFI ( Goodness-of-fit Index ) = 0,965; TLI ( Tucker Lewis Index ) = 0,922, e RMSEA ( Root Mean Square Error of Aproximation ) = 0,019. Juntos, esses indicadores demonstraram que o modelo é robusto e bastante consistente, apresentando um R 2 (Coeficiente de Correlação de Pearson ) = 0,965, indicando que a proporção das covariâncias observadas entre as variáveis manifestas e explicada pelo modelo ajustado é bastante significativa. Todas as variáveis do modelo ajustado apresentaram elevados coeficientes de regressão com valores entre 0,87 e 0,99, permitindo uma boa discriminação entre as notas dos vestibulandos, principalmente aqueles com o mesmo número de questões respondidas corretamente.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract The objective of this study is to make use of Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) in evaluating the model employed by the State University of Ceará (Uece) in the selection process of prospective students, which is based on the Classical Test Theory (CCT), as well as to propose adjustments to this model through the use of Second Order Factor Analysis and Regression Analysis, via MME. The data set used is comprised of results of 11,060 admission exams from the year 2018.1. AMOS/SPSS-v.22 software was used to process the data, obtaining the following quality indicators: CFI (Comparative Fit Index) = 0.925; GFI (Goodness-of-fit Index) = 0.965; TLI (Tucker Lewis Index) = 0.922, and RMSEA (Root Mean Square Error of Approximation) = 0.019. Together, these indicators demonstrate that the model is robust and highly consistent, presenting a R2 (Pearson Correlation Coefficient) = 0.965, indicating that the proportion of covariates, observed among the manifest variables and explained by the adjusted model, is very significant. All the variables of the adjusted model present elevated regression coefficients with values between 0.874 e 0.996, allowing for good discrimination between applicant scores, especially for those with the same number of correct question responses.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen Este estudio tuvo como objetivo hacer uso del Modelo de Ecuación Estructural - MEE, para evaluar la calidad del modelo utilizado por la Universidad Estatal de Ceará (Uece), en el proceso de selección de sus exámenes de ingreso, el cual se basa en la Teoría Clásica de Pruebas (TCT), además de proponer el ajuste a este modelo mediante el uso de Análisis Factorial de Segundo Orden y Análisis de Regresión, vía MEE. Se utilizó una base de datos compuesta por los resultados de las pruebas de 11.060 candidatos a la prueba de ingreso 2018, la cual fue procesada utilizando el software AMOS/SPSS-v.22, obteniendo los siguientes indicadores de calidad: CFI (Comparative Fit Index) = 0,925; GFI (Goodness-of-fit Index) = 0,965; TLI (Tucker Lewis Index) = 0,922 y RMSEA (Root Mean Square Error of Aproximation) = 0,019. Juntos, estos indicadores demostraron que el modelo es robusto y bastante consistente, presentando un R2 (Coeficiente de Correlación de Pearson) = 0.965 indicando que la proporción de covarianza observada entre las variables manifestadas y explicada por el modelo ajustado es bastante significativa. Todas las variables del modelo ajustado mostraron altos coeficientes de regresión con valores entre 0,87 y 0,99, lo que permitió una buena discriminación entre las calificaciones de los estudiantes, especialmente aquellos con el mismo número de preguntas respondidas correctamente.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Avaliação Educacional]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Modelagem de Equações Estruturais (MEE]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Análise Fatorial de Segunda Ordem]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Vestibular]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Educational Evaluation]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Structural Equation Modeling (SEM]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Confirmatory factor analysis (CFA]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[University admission examination]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Evaluación Educativa]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Modelo de Ecuación Estructural &#8211; MEE]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Análisis Factorial de Segundo Orden]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Análisis de Regresión]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Examen de Ingreso a la Universidad]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
<ref-list>
<ref id="B1">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[AGRESTI]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[FINLAY]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[B.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Métodos estatísticos para as ciências sociais]]></source>
<year>2012</year>
<edition>4</edition>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Porto Alegre ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Penso]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B2">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[BRAGA]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[L. F. H. V.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Fatores de influência na retenção discente: um estudo com alunos de graduação em Ciência Contábeis]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[REPeC &#8211; Revista de Educação e Pesquisa em Contabilidade (REPeC)]]></source>
<year>2018</year>
<volume>1 2</volume>
<numero>3</numero>
<issue>3</issue>
<page-range>303-22</page-range><publisher-loc><![CDATA[Brasília, DF ]]></publisher-loc>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B3">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[ARIAS]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M. R. M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[LLOREDA]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M. J. H.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[LLOREDA]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M. V. H.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Psicometría]]></source>
<year>2006</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Madrid ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Alianza Editorial]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B4">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[BARROS]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A. S. X.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Vestibular e ENEM: um debate contemporâneo]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Ensaio: Avaliação e Políticas Públicas em Educação]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
<volume>22</volume>
<numero>85</numero>
<issue>85</issue>
<page-range>1057-90</page-range><publisher-loc><![CDATA[Rio de Janeiro ]]></publisher-loc>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B5">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>BRASIL</collab>
<collab>Ministério da Educação</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Portal de periódicos CAPES/MEC]]></source>
<year>2020</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Brasília,DF ]]></publisher-loc>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B6">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[CORRÊA]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J. É.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[TURRIONI]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J. B.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[MELLO]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[C. H. P]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Roadmaping para modelagem de equações estruturais: structural equation modeling]]></source>
<year>2017</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Itajubá ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Novas Edições Acadêmicas]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B7">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[GOBBI]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[B. C]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Uma boa gestão melhora o desempenho da escola, mas o que sabemos acerca do efeito da complexidade da gestão nessa relação?]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Ensaio: Avaliação e Políticas Públicas em Educação]]></source>
<year>2020</year>
<volume>28</volume>
<numero>106</numero>
<issue>106</issue>
<page-range>198-220</page-range><publisher-loc><![CDATA[Rio de Janeiro ]]></publisher-loc>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B8">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[GUIMARÂES]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[S]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Como se faz a indústria do vestibular]]></source>
<year>1984</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Rio de Janeiro ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Vozes: IBASE]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B9">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[HAIR JUNIOR]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J. F.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Análise multivariada de dados]]></source>
<year>2005</year>
<edition>5</edition>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Porto Alegre ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Bookman]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B10">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<collab>IBM CORP</collab>
<source><![CDATA[IBM SPSS Statistics for Windows, Version 22.0]]></source>
<year>2013</year>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Armonk]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B11">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>INSTITUTO NACIONAL DE ESTUDOS E PESQUISAS EDUCACIONAIS ANÍSIO TEIXEIRA</collab>
<collab>INEP</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Censo da Educação Superior 2018: notas estatísticas]]></source>
<year>2019</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Brasília, DF ]]></publisher-loc>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B12">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[MALHOTRA]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[N. K.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Pesquisa de marketing: uma orientação aplicada]]></source>
<year>2012</year>
<edition>6</edition>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Porto Alegre ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Bookman]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B13">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[MARÔCO]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Análise de equações estruturais: fundamentos teóricos, software &amp; aplicações]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
<edition>2</edition>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Pêro Pinheiro ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Soluções Gráficas]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B14">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[PASQUALI]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[L]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Psicometria: teoria dos testes na Psicologia e na Educação]]></source>
<year>2003</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Petrópolis ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Vozes]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B15">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[SILVA]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A. S. R.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[ANDRIOLA]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[W. B.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Uso de equações estruturais para validar um modelo explicativo da relação entre domínio tecnológico, interação e aprendizagem colaborativa na Educação a Distância (EaD)]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Ensaio: Avaliação e Políticas Públicas em Educação]]></source>
<year>2012</year>
<volume>20</volume>
<numero>75</numero>
<issue>75</issue>
<page-range>373-96</page-range><publisher-loc><![CDATA[Rio de Janeiro ]]></publisher-loc>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B16">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[SILVA]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[PADOIN]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M. J.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Relação entre o desempenho no vestibular e o desempenho durante o curso de graduação]]></article-title>
<source><![CDATA[Ensaio: Avaliação e Políticas Públicas em Educação]]></source>
<year>2008</year>
<volume>16</volume>
<numero>58</numero>
<issue>58</issue>
<page-range>77-94</page-range><publisher-loc><![CDATA[Rio de Janeiro ]]></publisher-loc>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B17">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[VIANNA]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[H. M.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Introdução à avaliação educacional]]></source>
<year>1989</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[São Paulo ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Ibrasa]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
</ref-list>
</back>
</article>
