<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>2176-6681</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Revista Brasileira de Estudos Pedagógicos]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[R. Bras. Est. Pedag.]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>2176-6681</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Instituto Nacional de Estudos e Pesquisas Educacionais Anísio Teixeira]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S2176-66812011000200002</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="pt"><![CDATA[Um quinquênio de cotas: as chances de ingresso de negros na Universidade de Brasília]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Velloso]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Jacques]]></given-names>
</name>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Cardoso]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Claudete Batista]]></given-names>
</name>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="A02">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidade de Brasília  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>05</month>
<year>2011</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>05</month>
<year>2011</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>92</volume>
<numero>231</numero>
<fpage>221</fpage>
<lpage>245</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://educa.fcc.org.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S2176-66812011000200002&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://educa.fcc.org.br/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S2176-66812011000200002&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://educa.fcc.org.br/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S2176-66812011000200002&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="pt"><p><![CDATA[No contexto dos debates sobre as ações afirmativas no ensino superior, o estudo tratou de cotas para negros na Universidade de Brasília (UnB), valendo-se de escores dos candidatos ao vestibular no quinquênio 2004-2008. Duas questões centrais orientaram o estudo: Quais seriam as chances de ingresso de candidatos negros, caso inexistisse o sistema de cotas? Essas chances aumentariam expressivamente caso as vagas oferecidas pela instituição fossem duplicadas? Para responder às perguntas foram feitas simulações das chances de ingresso de negros. As cotas em geral dobraram as chances de aprovação de candidatos negros na UnB, mas os resultados não sustentaram a tese de que um forte aumento nas vagas poderia substituir as cotas e, ao mesmo tempo, sinalizaram para a relevância de políticas universalistas voltadas para a educação básica.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[In the context of the debate on affirmative action in higher education, the study dealt with quotas for blacks in the University of Brasília (UnB), using scores obtained by applicants in entrance examinations in a five year period (2004-2008). The two main questions of the study were: What would be the admission chances of black applicants, if the quota system did not exist? If admission slots were doubled, would these chances undergo a substantial increase? In order to answer these questions, admission chances were simulated. Data indicated admission chances of black applicants typically are twice as large under the quota system. Results did not support the argument that a large expansion of admission slots could replace the quota system and, at the same time, pointed out to the relevance of universalist policies aimed at basic schooling.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Ações Afirmativas]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Sistema de Cotas]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Chances de Ingresso]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Educação Superior]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[Universidade de Brasília]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Affirmative Action]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Admission Chances]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Higher Education]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[University of Brasília]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Quota System]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><body><![CDATA[  <font face="Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif"> <h2>Um  quinqu&ecirc;nio de cotas: as chances de ingresso de negros na Universidade de  Bras&iacute;lia.</h2> <h3>Quotas in five years&rsquo; time: admission chances of  blacks at the University of Brasilia.</h3>     <p>&nbsp;</p> <h4>Jacques  Velloso, Claudete Batista Cardoso</h4> </font>      ]]></body><back>
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